Arman Tsarukyan vs Islam Makhachev

April 19, 2019

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

987
(-13)
Arman Tsarukyan
Winner: Islam Makhachev
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Arman Tsarukyan-13
Islam Makhachev+15
1223
(+15)
Islam Makhachev

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Arman Tsarukyan: -13Islam Makhachev: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricArman TsarukyanIslam Makhachev
Total UFC Fights17
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9871 241
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

Islam Makhachev's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Islam Makhachev for the expected result. Had Arman Tsarukyan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Arman Tsarukyan: -15Islam Makhachev: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricArman TsarukyanIslam Makhachev
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9851 110
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Arman Tsarukyan: -12Islam Makhachev: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricArman TsarukyanIslam Makhachev
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9881 331
ELO Change-12+12
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What Happened

Islam Makhachev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Arman Tsarukyan: -9Islam Makhachev: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricArman TsarukyanIslam Makhachev
Significant Strikes Landed1314
Significant Strikes Attempted4320
Total Strikes Landed6047
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9911 237
ELO Change-9+9
💡

What Happened

Arman Tsarukyan controlled the striking through superior accuracy (30.2% vs 70.0%). However, since Arman Tsarukyan lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Islam Makhachev's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Arman Tsarukyan: -14Islam Makhachev: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricArman TsarukyanIslam Makhachev
Takedowns Landed14
Takedowns Attempted129
Ground Control Time1:476:06
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO9861 436
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Islam Makhachev dominated Arman Tsarukyan on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 6:06 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Arman Tsarukyan: -12Islam Makhachev: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricArman TsarukyanIslam Makhachev
Days Since Last FightN/A266
Activity ELO9881 167
ELO Change-12+16
💡

What Happened

Islam Makhachev demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Islam Makhachev capitalized on this activity level, while Arman Tsarukyan's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Arman Tsarukyan: -14Islam Makhachev: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricArman TsarukyanIslam Makhachev
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO9861 151
ELO Change-14+26
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What Happened

Islam Makhachev continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Arman Tsarukyan's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Arman Tsarukyan: -15Islam Makhachev: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricArman TsarukyanIslam Makhachev
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9851 110
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.