June 16, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 211 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -13 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 110 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:25 | 3:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 359 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Arman Tsarukyan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 80 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 134 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 338 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Arman Tsarukyan dominated the striking exchanges with 134 vs 77 total strikes, 80 vs 23 significant strikes, 69.6% vs 56.1% accuracy. Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 41 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 384 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Arman Tsarukyan dominated Joaquim Silva on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 9:01 of control time, 41 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 198 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -13 |
Arman Tsarukyan demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this activity level, while Joaquim Silva's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -15 |
Arman Tsarukyan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joaquim Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 110 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.