February 25, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 194 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 094 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:57 | 1:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 332 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -49 |
Arman Tsarukyan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 334 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Arman Tsarukyan dominated the striking exchanges with 93 vs 27 total strikes, 36 vs 7 significant strikes. Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:08 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 32 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 342 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Arman Tsarukyan controlled Joel Alvarez on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:08 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 169 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -20 |
Arman Tsarukyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this activity level, while Joel Alvarez's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 137 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Arman Tsarukyan continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Joel Alvarez's now at 0.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 094 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.