January 22, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 131 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 146 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Arman Tsarukyan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 103 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 136 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Arman Tsarukyan dominated the striking exchanges with 103 vs 51 total strikes, 50 vs 16 significant strikes, 48.5% vs 28.1% accuracy. Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:24 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 264 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -90 |
Arman Tsarukyan dominated Matt Frevola on the ground with 10 vs 0 takedowns, 8:24 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 470 |
| Activity ELO | 1 107 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Arman Tsarukyan demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Frevola's 470-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Arman Tsarukyan extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Frevola is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.