July 26, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -43 |
Arman Tsarukyan overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Olivier Aubin-Mercier.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 055 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Arman Tsarukyan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 110 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Arman Tsarukyan dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 36 total strikes, 47 vs 23 significant strikes. Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:53 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 075 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Arman Tsarukyan controlled Olivier Aubin-Mercier on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:53 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -29 |
Arman Tsarukyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this activity level, while Olivier Aubin-Mercier's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 015 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Arman Tsarukyan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Olivier Aubin-Mercier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.