March 8, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:27 | 4:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 992 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +36 |
Brunno Ferreira earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:27, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Armen Petrosyan was submitted.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Armen Petrosyan controlled the striking through superior volume (47 vs 31 total strikes), significant strike advantage (46 vs 27). However, since Armen Petrosyan lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brunno Ferreira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 902 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Brunno Ferreira controlled Armen Petrosyan on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:12 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +41 |
Brunno Ferreira demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brunno Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Armen Petrosyan's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 992 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Brunno Ferreira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Armen Petrosyan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.