July 8, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Caio Borralho |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 063 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Caio Borralho |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Caio Borralho |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Caio Borralho earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Caio Borralho |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 031 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Armen Petrosyan controlled the striking through superior volume (72 vs 49 total strikes), significant strike advantage (31 vs 12). However, since Armen Petrosyan lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Caio Borralho's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Caio Borralho |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:19 | 10:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 972 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Caio Borralho controlled Armen Petrosyan on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 10:09 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Caio Borralho |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +64 |
Caio Borralho demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Caio Borralho capitalized on this activity level, while Armen Petrosyan's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Caio Borralho |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Caio Borralho extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Armen Petrosyan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Armen Petrosyan | Caio Borralho |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.