May 26, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Mads Burnell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 150 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Mads Burnell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 079 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Mads Burnell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:41 | 2:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 156 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -31 |
Arnold Allen earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mads Burnell was submitted.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Mads Burnell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 135 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Mads Burnell controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (70 vs 38 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (20 vs 29). However, since Mads Burnell lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Arnold Allen's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Mads Burnell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 7:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 181 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Arnold Allen edged out Mads Burnell on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Mads Burnell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 435 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 082 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Arnold Allen demonstrated extended layoff with 435 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Arnold Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Mads Burnell's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Mads Burnell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -17 |
Arnold Allen extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mads Burnell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Mads Burnell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.