March 17, 2017
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 129 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 110 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Arnold Allen receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 118 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Arnold Allen controlled the striking exchanges with 75 vs 32 total strikes, 32 vs 17 significant strikes. Arnold Allen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:33 | 5:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Arnold Allen edged out Makwan Amirkhani on the ground with 3 takedowns, 5:33 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 385 | 385 |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -23 |
Arnold Allen demonstrated extended layoff with 385 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Arnold Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Makwan Amirkhani's 385-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Arnold Allen extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Makwan Amirkhani is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.