January 19, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 269 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +44 |
Movsar Evloev overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Arnold Allen.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 146 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 406 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Movsar Evloev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 140 | 118 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 387 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Arnold Allen controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (59 vs 51). However, since Arnold Allen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Movsar Evloev's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 17 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 3:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 315 | 1 458 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Movsar Evloev controlled Arnold Allen on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 3:31 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 281 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 1 208 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Movsar Evloev demonstrated standard activity with 260 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Movsar Evloev capitalized on this activity level, while Arnold Allen's 281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 8 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 330 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +97 |
Movsar Evloev continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Arnold Allen's now at 0.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 138 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.