January 24, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 249 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -28 |
Arnold Allen overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nik Lentz.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 129 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 262 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Arnold Allen earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 63 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 172 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 220 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Arnold Allen edged the striking exchanges with 63 vs 49 significant strikes, 48.1% vs 28.5% accuracy. Arnold Allen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:21 | 1:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 256 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Arnold Allen did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nik Lentz on the ground with 1:21 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 169 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -28 |
Arnold Allen demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Arnold Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Nik Lentz's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 214 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -20 |
Arnold Allen continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Nik Lentz's now at 0.
| Metric | Arnold Allen | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 128 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.