Asaf Chopurov vs Colby Thicknesse

October 24, 2026

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

979
(-21)
Asaf Chopurov
Winner: Colby Thicknesse
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Asaf Chopurov-21
Colby Thicknesse+24
1050
(+24)
Colby Thicknesse

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Asaf Chopurov: -28Colby Thicknesse: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAsaf ChopurovColby Thicknesse
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9721 071
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

Colby Thicknesse's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Colby Thicknesse for the expected result. Had Asaf Chopurov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Asaf Chopurov: -20Colby Thicknesse: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAsaf ChopurovColby Thicknesse
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 036
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Asaf Chopurov: -9Colby Thicknesse: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricAsaf ChopurovColby Thicknesse
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9911 046
ELO Change-9+9
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Colby Thicknesse receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Asaf Chopurov: -30Colby Thicknesse: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAsaf ChopurovColby Thicknesse
Significant Strikes Landed5477
Significant Strikes Attempted96135
Total Strikes Landed71107
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9701 050
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Colby Thicknesse controlled the striking exchanges with 107 vs 71 total strikes, 77 vs 54 significant strikes. Colby Thicknesse capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Asaf Chopurov: -25Colby Thicknesse: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAsaf ChopurovColby Thicknesse
Takedowns Landed81
Takedowns Attempted1215
Ground Control Time5:013:14
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO9751 053
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Colby Thicknesse did not secure a significant ground advantage against Asaf Chopurov on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:14 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Asaf Chopurov: -19Colby Thicknesse: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricAsaf ChopurovColby Thicknesse
Days Since Last FightN/A175
Activity ELO9811 062
ELO Change-19+34
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What Happened

Colby Thicknesse demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Colby Thicknesse capitalized on this activity level, while Asaf Chopurov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Asaf Chopurov: -20Colby Thicknesse: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricAsaf ChopurovColby Thicknesse
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9801 048
ELO Change-20+26
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What Happened

Colby Thicknesse extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Asaf Chopurov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Asaf Chopurov: -20Colby Thicknesse: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAsaf ChopurovColby Thicknesse
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 036
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.