April 6, 2018
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Bec Rawlings |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 895 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Bec Rawlings |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Bec Rawlings |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 016 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Bec Rawlings |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 116 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 331 | 195 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 053 | 895 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 121 vs 89 total strikes, 116 vs 88 significant strikes, 35.0% vs 45.1% accuracy. Ashlee Evans-Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Bec Rawlings |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 847 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Bec Rawlings |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 014 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ashlee Evans-Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Bec Rawlings's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Bec Rawlings |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bec Rawlings is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Bec Rawlings |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

