Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Raquel Pennington

December 5, 2014

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

971
(-29)
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Winner: Raquel Pennington
Submission
Round 1 • 4:59

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ashlee Evans-Smith-29
Raquel Pennington+33
1036
(+33)
Raquel Pennington

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: -33Raquel Pennington: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithRaquel Pennington
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9671 021
ELO Change-33+33
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Ashlee Evans-Smith pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: -21Raquel Pennington: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithRaquel Pennington
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 020
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: -38Raquel Pennington: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithRaquel Pennington
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:594:59
Win Type ELO9621 093
ELO Change-38+63
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: -21Raquel Pennington: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithRaquel Pennington
Significant Strikes Landed115
Significant Strikes Attempted1610
Total Strikes Landed2516
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9791 028
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Ashlee Evans-Smith controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (11 vs 5), superior accuracy (68.8% vs 50.0%). However, since Ashlee Evans-Smith lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Raquel Pennington's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: -55Raquel Pennington: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithRaquel Pennington
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time3:091:23
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9451 053
ELO Change-55+55
💡

What Happened

Raquel Pennington controlled Ashlee Evans-Smith on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:23 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: -21Raquel Pennington: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithRaquel Pennington
Days Since Last FightN/A266
Activity ELO9791 027
ELO Change-21+26
💡

What Happened

Raquel Pennington demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Ashlee Evans-Smith's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: -21Raquel Pennington: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithRaquel Pennington
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 024
ELO Change-21+23
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ashlee Evans-Smith is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: -21Raquel Pennington: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithRaquel Pennington
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 020
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.