September 8, 2017
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Sarah Moras |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +38 |
Sarah Moras overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ashlee Evans-Smith.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Sarah Moras |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Sarah Moras |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:51 | 2:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +78 |
Sarah Moras earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:51, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Sarah Moras |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 034 | 994 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Sarah Moras slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 33.3% accuracy. Sarah Moras capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Sarah Moras |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:26 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 929 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Sarah Moras controlled Ashlee Evans-Smith on the ground with 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Sarah Moras |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 787 |
| Activity ELO | 988 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Sarah Moras demonstrated extended layoff with 787 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Sarah Moras capitalized on this activity level, while Ashlee Evans-Smith's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Sarah Moras |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Sarah Moras started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ashlee Evans-Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Sarah Moras |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.