Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Veronica Hardy

September 2, 2016

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1049
(+46)
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Winner: Ashlee Evans-Smith
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:46

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ashlee Evans-Smith+46
Veronica Hardy-39
961
(-39)
Veronica Hardy

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: +30Veronica Hardy: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithVeronica Hardy
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 043970
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Ashlee Evans-Smith's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ashlee Evans-Smith for the expected result. Had Veronica Hardy pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: +21Veronica Hardy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithVeronica Hardy
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 023979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: +90Veronica Hardy: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithVeronica Hardy
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:462:46
Win Type ELO1 066955
ELO Change+90-45
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What Happened

Ashlee Evans-Smith gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: +84Veronica Hardy: -84

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithVeronica Hardy
Significant Strikes Landed7323
Significant Strikes Attempted11541
Total Strikes Landed11434
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 087916
ELO Change+84-84
💡

What Happened

Ashlee Evans-Smith dominated the striking exchanges with 114 vs 34 total strikes, 73 vs 23 significant strikes. Ashlee Evans-Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: +69Veronica Hardy: -69

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithVeronica Hardy
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted50
Ground Control Time6:011:49
Ground Strikes Landed330
Ground ELO1 090931
ELO Change+69-69
💡

What Happened

Ashlee Evans-Smith controlled Veronica Hardy on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:01 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: +26Veronica Hardy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithVeronica Hardy
Days Since Last Fight195N/A
Activity ELO1 031979
ELO Change+26-21
💡

What Happened

Ashlee Evans-Smith demonstrated standard activity with 195 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ashlee Evans-Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Veronica Hardy's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: +25Veronica Hardy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithVeronica Hardy
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 030979
ELO Change+25-21
💡

What Happened

Ashlee Evans-Smith extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Veronica Hardy is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ashlee Evans-Smith: +21Veronica Hardy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAshlee Evans-SmithVeronica Hardy
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 023979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.