September 2, 2016
Women's Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 043 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ashlee Evans-Smith for the expected result. Had Veronica Hardy pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:46 | 2:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 066 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -45 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 114 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 087 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith dominated the striking exchanges with 114 vs 34 total strikes, 73 vs 23 significant strikes. Ashlee Evans-Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:01 | 1:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 33 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 090 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith controlled Veronica Hardy on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:01 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 195 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith demonstrated standard activity with 195 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ashlee Evans-Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Veronica Hardy's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Veronica Hardy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

