December 8, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 962 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Justine Kish earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 107 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Ashley Yoder controlled the striking through superior volume (77 vs 59 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (44 vs 51). However, since Ashley Yoder lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Justine Kish's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:00 | 5:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 971 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Justine Kish edged out Ashley Yoder on the ground with 1 takedown, 5:25 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 342 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Justine Kish demonstrated standard activity with 342 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Justine Kish capitalized on this activity level, while Ashley Yoder's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Justine Kish extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ashley Yoder is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.