August 14, 2020
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Livinha Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 909 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Livinha Souza overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ashley Yoder.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Livinha Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 946 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Livinha Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 923 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Livinha Souza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Livinha Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 114 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 942 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Livinha Souza edged the striking exchanges with 46 vs 32 significant strikes, 65.7% vs 28.1% accuracy. Livinha Souza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Livinha Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:50 | 2:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 933 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Livinha Souza controlled Ashley Yoder on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:43 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Livinha Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +16 |
Livinha Souza demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Livinha Souza capitalized on this activity level, while Ashley Yoder's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Livinha Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 953 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Livinha Souza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ashley Yoder is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Livinha Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 946 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.