March 2, 2018
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 884 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Mackenzie Dern overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ashley Yoder.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 940 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 909 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Mackenzie Dern receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 142 | 143 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 927 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Mackenzie Dern controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 52 significant strikes, 49.0% vs 36.6% accuracy. Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:42 | 5:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 872 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Mackenzie Dern controlled Ashley Yoder on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:50 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 240 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 940 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Mackenzie Dern demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this activity level, while Ashley Yoder's 240-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 940 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Mackenzie Dern started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ashley Yoder is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 940 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.