October 25, 2019
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 935 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Randa Markos's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randa Markos for the expected result. Had Ashley Yoder pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 957 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Randa Markos receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 78 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 140 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 82 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Randa Markos controlled the striking exchanges with 78 vs 44 significant strikes, 55.7% vs 41.1% accuracy. Randa Markos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:37 | 3:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 985 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Randa Markos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ashley Yoder on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:05 of control time, 10 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Randa Markos demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Randa Markos capitalized on this activity level, while Ashley Yoder's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 971 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Randa Markos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ashley Yoder is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ashley Yoder | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

