Ashley Yoder vs Randa Markos

October 25, 2019

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

965
(-21)
Ashley Yoder
Winner: Randa Markos
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ashley Yoder-21
Randa Markos+25
1040
(+25)
Randa Markos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ashley Yoder: -31Randa Markos: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricAshley YoderRanda Markos
Total UFC Fights613
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO9351 000
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Randa Markos's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randa Markos for the expected result. Had Ashley Yoder pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ashley Yoder: -21Randa Markos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAshley YoderRanda Markos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9641 010
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ashley Yoder: -9Randa Markos: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricAshley YoderRanda Markos
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9571 030
ELO Change-9+9
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Randa Markos receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ashley Yoder: -28Randa Markos: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAshley YoderRanda Markos
Significant Strikes Landed4478
Significant Strikes Attempted107140
Total Strikes Landed8294
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9661 055
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Randa Markos controlled the striking exchanges with 78 vs 44 significant strikes, 55.7% vs 41.1% accuracy. Randa Markos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ashley Yoder: -15Randa Markos: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAshley YoderRanda Markos
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted61
Ground Control Time5:373:05
Ground Strikes Landed1510
Ground ELO9851 119
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Randa Markos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ashley Yoder on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:05 of control time, 10 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ashley Yoder: -19Randa Markos: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricAshley YoderRanda Markos
Days Since Last Fight126112
Activity ELO9791 078
ELO Change-19+48
💡

What Happened

Randa Markos demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Randa Markos capitalized on this activity level, while Ashley Yoder's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ashley Yoder: -21Randa Markos: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAshley YoderRanda Markos
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9711 018
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Randa Markos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ashley Yoder is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ashley Yoder: -21Randa Markos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAshley YoderRanda Markos
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9641 007
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.