March 25, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Askar Askarov | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 172 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Kai Kara-France's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kai Kara-France for the expected result. Had Askar Askarov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Askar Askarov | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Askar Askarov | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 154 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Kai Kara-France earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Askar Askarov | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 130 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 098 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Kai Kara-France controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 37 total strikes, 51 vs 27 significant strikes. Kai Kara-France capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Askar Askarov | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:14 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 206 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Kai Kara-France did not secure a significant ground advantage against Askar Askarov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Askar Askarov | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 385 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 108 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Kai Kara-France demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kai Kara-France capitalized on this activity level, while Askar Askarov's 385-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Askar Askarov | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Kai Kara-France extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Askar Askarov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Askar Askarov | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.