July 12, 2019
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Germaine de Randamie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Germaine de Randamie's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Germaine de Randamie for the expected result. Had Aspen Ladd pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Germaine de Randamie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Germaine de Randamie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:16 | 0:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 148 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +111 |
Germaine de Randamie secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:16 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Germaine de Randamie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 006 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -132 | +132 |
Germaine de Randamie controlled the striking exchanges with 80.0% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Germaine de Randamie capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Germaine de Randamie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 104 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Germaine de Randamie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 048 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Germaine de Randamie demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Germaine de Randamie capitalized on this activity level, while Aspen Ladd's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Germaine de Randamie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +36 |
Germaine de Randamie continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Aspen Ladd's now at 0.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Germaine de Randamie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.