April 8, 2022
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Raquel Pennington's 9-fight experience advantage (16 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Aspen Ladd pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 125 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Raquel Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 114 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 160 | 195 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 102 | 136 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Raquel Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 136 vs 102 total strikes, 114 vs 65 significant strikes, 58.5% vs 40.6% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:56 | 1:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 120 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Raquel Pennington did not secure a significant ground advantage against Aspen Ladd on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:42 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +31 |
Raquel Pennington demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Aspen Ladd's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 035 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +22 |
Raquel Pennington extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aspen Ladd is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

