Aspen Ladd vs Raquel Pennington

April 8, 2022

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1060
(-19)
Aspen Ladd
Winner: Raquel Pennington
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aspen Ladd-19
Raquel Pennington+23
1194
(+23)
Raquel Pennington

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aspen Ladd: -26Raquel Pennington: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricAspen LaddRaquel Pennington
Total UFC Fights716
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO1 0581 166
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington's 9-fight experience advantage (16 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Aspen Ladd pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aspen Ladd: -17Raquel Pennington: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAspen LaddRaquel Pennington
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0231 129
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aspen Ladd: -30Raquel Pennington: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAspen LaddRaquel Pennington
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1251 288
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aspen Ladd: -24Raquel Pennington: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAspen LaddRaquel Pennington
Significant Strikes Landed65114
Significant Strikes Attempted160195
Total Strikes Landed102136
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0381 176
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 136 vs 102 total strikes, 114 vs 65 significant strikes, 58.5% vs 40.6% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aspen Ladd: -14Raquel Pennington: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricAspen LaddRaquel Pennington
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted41
Ground Control Time2:561:42
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1201 269
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington did not secure a significant ground advantage against Aspen Ladd on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:42 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aspen Ladd: -12Raquel Pennington: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricAspen LaddRaquel Pennington
Days Since Last Fight175112
Activity ELO1 0561 251
ELO Change-12+31
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Aspen Ladd's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aspen Ladd: -16Raquel Pennington: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAspen LaddRaquel Pennington
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 0351 158
ELO Change-16+22
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aspen Ladd is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aspen Ladd: -17Raquel Pennington: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAspen LaddRaquel Pennington
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0211 115
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.