October 5, 2018
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -16 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:26 | 3:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 152 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -29 |
Aspen Ladd earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:26, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 73 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 118 | 884 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Aspen Ladd controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 15 total strikes, 50 vs 9 significant strikes, 68.5% vs 56.3% accuracy. Aspen Ladd capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:53 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 40 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 103 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Aspen Ladd controlled Tonya Evinger on the ground with 1:53 of control time, 40 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 350 | 434 |
| Activity ELO | 1 041 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Aspen Ladd demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Aspen Ladd capitalized on this activity level, while Tonya Evinger's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -19 |
Aspen Ladd extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tonya Evinger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aspen Ladd | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.