March 8, 2024
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | CJ Vergara |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -26 |
Asu Almabayev overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran CJ Vergara.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | CJ Vergara |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | CJ Vergara |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 123 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Asu Almabayev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | CJ Vergara |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 77 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 101 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Asu Almabayev controlled the striking exchanges with 44 vs 29 significant strikes. Asu Almabayev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | CJ Vergara |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:32 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 224 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Asu Almabayev dominated CJ Vergara on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 9:32 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | CJ Vergara |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Asu Almabayev demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Asu Almabayev capitalized on this activity level, while CJ Vergara's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | CJ Vergara |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Asu Almabayev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. CJ Vergara is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | CJ Vergara |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.