August 4, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 089 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Asu Almabayev overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ode Osbourne.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:11 | 3:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 085 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -55 |
Asu Almabayev earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ode Osbourne was submitted.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 073 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Asu Almabayev controlled the striking exchanges with 52 vs 8 total strikes, 26 vs 4 significant strikes, 65.0% vs 22.2% accuracy. Asu Almabayev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:24 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 167 | 835 |
| ELO Change | +167 | -167 |
Asu Almabayev dominated Ode Osbourne on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:24 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 025 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Asu Almabayev demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Asu Almabayev capitalized on this activity level, while Ode Osbourne's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Asu Almabayev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ode Osbourne is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Asu Almabayev | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.