March 29, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ateba Gautier | Jose Daniel Medina |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ateba Gautier | Jose Daniel Medina |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ateba Gautier | Jose Daniel Medina |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:32 | 3:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 083 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -39 |
Ateba Gautier earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:32, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ateba Gautier | Jose Daniel Medina |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 087 | 874 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Ateba Gautier controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 17 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ateba Gautier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ateba Gautier | Jose Daniel Medina |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 015 | 887 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Ateba Gautier | Jose Daniel Medina |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Ateba Gautier demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ateba Gautier capitalized on this activity level, while Jose Daniel Medina's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ateba Gautier | Jose Daniel Medina |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Ateba Gautier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jose Daniel Medina is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ateba Gautier | Jose Daniel Medina |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

