Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz

May 9, 2026

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1171
(+27)
Ateba Gautier
Winner: Ateba Gautier
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:10

C-ELO Evolution

Ateba Gautier+27
Ozzy Diaz-21
978
(-21)
Ozzy Diaz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ateba Gautier: +21Ozzy Diaz: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAteba GautierOzzy Diaz
Total UFC Fights53
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 148983
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Ateba Gautier's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ateba Gautier for the expected result. Had Ozzy Diaz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ateba Gautier: +17Ozzy Diaz: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAteba GautierOzzy Diaz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 091985
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ateba Gautier: +38Ozzy Diaz: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAteba GautierOzzy Diaz
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:101:10
Win Type ELO1 271997
ELO Change+38-19
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What Happened

Ateba Gautier gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ateba Gautier: +30Ozzy Diaz: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAteba GautierOzzy Diaz
Significant Strikes Landed236
Significant Strikes Attempted8220
Total Strikes Landed278
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 314919
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Ateba Gautier controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 6 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ateba Gautier capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ateba Gautier: +33Ozzy Diaz: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricAteba GautierOzzy Diaz
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:001:03
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 145946
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Ateba Gautier landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ateba Gautier: +35Ozzy Diaz: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricAteba GautierOzzy Diaz
Days Since Last Fight105427
Activity ELO1 1891 022
ELO Change+35-14
💡

What Happened

Ateba Gautier demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ateba Gautier capitalized on this activity level, while Ozzy Diaz's 427-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ateba Gautier: +30Ozzy Diaz: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricAteba GautierOzzy Diaz
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 121988
ELO Change+30-16
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What Happened

Ateba Gautier continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Ozzy Diaz's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ateba Gautier: +17Ozzy Diaz: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAteba GautierOzzy Diaz
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 091985
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.