February 20, 2016
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Cody Garbrandt's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cody Garbrandt for the expected result. Had Augusto Mendes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:18 | 4:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +55 |
Cody Garbrandt earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Cody Garbrandt controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 226 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Cody Garbrandt demonstrated standard activity with 226 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this activity level, while Augusto Mendes's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Cody Garbrandt extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Augusto Mendes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

