Augusto Mendes vs Cody Garbrandt

February 20, 2016

Catch Weight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

975
(-25)
Augusto Mendes
Winner: Cody Garbrandt
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:18

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Augusto Mendes-25
Cody Garbrandt+29
1123
(+29)
Cody Garbrandt

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Augusto Mendes: -22Cody Garbrandt: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAugusto MendesCody Garbrandt
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9781 125
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Cody Garbrandt's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cody Garbrandt for the expected result. Had Augusto Mendes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Augusto Mendes: -18Cody Garbrandt: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAugusto MendesCody Garbrandt
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 062
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Augusto Mendes: -26Cody Garbrandt: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricAugusto MendesCody Garbrandt
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:184:18
Win Type ELO9741 199
ELO Change-26+55
💡

What Happened

Cody Garbrandt earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Augusto Mendes: -43Cody Garbrandt: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricAugusto MendesCody Garbrandt
Significant Strikes Landed1111
Significant Strikes Attempted3841
Total Strikes Landed1111
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9571 228
ELO Change-43+43
💡

What Happened

Cody Garbrandt controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Augusto Mendes: -34Cody Garbrandt: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricAugusto MendesCody Garbrandt
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:05
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9661 163
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Augusto Mendes: -18Cody Garbrandt: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAugusto MendesCody Garbrandt
Days Since Last FightN/A226
Activity ELO9821 074
ELO Change-18+22
💡

What Happened

Cody Garbrandt demonstrated standard activity with 226 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this activity level, while Augusto Mendes's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Augusto Mendes: -18Cody Garbrandt: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAugusto MendesCody Garbrandt
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9821 074
ELO Change-18+23
💡

What Happened

Cody Garbrandt extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Augusto Mendes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Augusto Mendes: -18Cody Garbrandt: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAugusto MendesCody Garbrandt
Weight ClassN/AN/A
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9821 062
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.