January 14, 2017
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -37 |
Augusto Mendes overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Frankie Saenz.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 987 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Augusto Mendes receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 109 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 987 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Augusto Mendes edged the striking exchanges with 74 vs 49 total strikes. Augusto Mendes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:12 | 2:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 036 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Augusto Mendes edged out Frankie Saenz on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 2:12 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 329 | 177 |
| Activity ELO | 1 007 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Augusto Mendes demonstrated standard activity with 329 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Augusto Mendes capitalized on this activity level, while Frankie Saenz's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Augusto Mendes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frankie Saenz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Augusto Mendes | Frankie Saenz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.