September 16, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Augusto Montano | Belal Muhammad |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 995 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Augusto Montano | Belal Muhammad |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Augusto Montano | Belal Muhammad |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:19 | 4:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 996 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +100 |
Belal Muhammad gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Augusto Montano | Belal Muhammad |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 149 | 149 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 977 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Belal Muhammad controlled the striking exchanges with 118 vs 72 total strikes. Belal Muhammad capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Augusto Montano | Belal Muhammad |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Belal Muhammad controlled Augusto Montano on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:27 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Augusto Montano | Belal Muhammad |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 462 | 72 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +67 |
Belal Muhammad demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 72 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Belal Muhammad capitalized on this activity level, while Augusto Montano's 462-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Augusto Montano | Belal Muhammad |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Belal Muhammad started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Augusto Montano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Augusto Montano | Belal Muhammad |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

