August 5, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Augusto Sakai | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Augusto Sakai | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Augusto Sakai | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:42 | 3:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 159 | 1 329 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +70 |
Serghei Spivac gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Augusto Sakai | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Serghei Spivac dominated the striking exchanges with 86 vs 14 total strikes, 33 vs 8 significant strikes, 67.3% vs 34.8% accuracy. Serghei Spivac capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Augusto Sakai | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 6:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Serghei Spivac dominated Augusto Sakai on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 6:37 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Augusto Sakai | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 079 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +31 |
Serghei Spivac demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Serghei Spivac capitalized on this activity level, while Augusto Sakai's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Augusto Sakai | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Serghei Spivac extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Augusto Sakai is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Augusto Sakai | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.