March 1, 2025
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austen Lane | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 891 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Mario Pinto overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Austen Lane.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:39 | 0:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 956 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +86 |
Mario Pinto gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 840 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Austen Lane controlled the striking through superior volume (36 vs 16 total strikes), significant strike advantage (32 vs 13), 1 knockdown. However, since Austen Lane lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mario Pinto's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Mario Pinto did not secure a significant ground advantage against Austen Lane on the ground with 0:18 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Mario Pinto demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Mario Pinto capitalized on this activity level, while Austen Lane's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 967 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Mario Pinto started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austen Lane is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.