October 19, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austen Lane | Robelis Despaigne |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 953 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Robelis Despaigne |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Robelis Despaigne |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 998 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Austen Lane earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Robelis Despaigne |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 900 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Austen Lane controlled the striking exchanges with 78 vs 48 total strikes, 23 vs 31 significant strikes. Austen Lane capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Robelis Despaigne |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:58 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 047 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Austen Lane dominated Robelis Despaigne on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 8:58 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Robelis Despaigne |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -24 |
Austen Lane demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Austen Lane capitalized on this activity level, while Robelis Despaigne's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Robelis Despaigne |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Austen Lane started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robelis Despaigne is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austen Lane | Robelis Despaigne |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.