February 8, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Arnett | Shane Young |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Austin Arnett | Shane Young |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Arnett | Shane Young |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 948 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Shane Young earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Austin Arnett | Shane Young |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 77 | 120 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 209 | 308 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 871 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Shane Young controlled the striking exchanges with 121 vs 78 total strikes, 120 vs 77 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Shane Young capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Arnett | Shane Young |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 984 | 992 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Austin Arnett | Shane Young |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 996 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Shane Young demonstrated standard activity with 232 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Shane Young capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Arnett's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Arnett | Shane Young |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 964 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Shane Young extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Arnett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Arnett | Shane Young |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 962 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.