January 11, 2025
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Bashi | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Christian Rodriguez's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Christian Rodriguez for the expected result. Had Austin Bashi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Austin Bashi | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Bashi | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 971 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Christian Rodriguez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Austin Bashi | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 977 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Christian Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 32 total strikes, 44 vs 23 significant strikes. Christian Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Bashi | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 18 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:41 | 3:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Christian Rodriguez edged out Austin Bashi on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:20 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Bashi | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Christian Rodriguez demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Christian Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Bashi's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Bashi | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Christian Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Bashi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Bashi | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.