May 17, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Davi Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Davi Ramos's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Davi Ramos for the expected result. Had Austin Hubbard pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Davi Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Davi Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 979 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Davi Ramos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Davi Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 114 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 981 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Davi Ramos controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 46 total strikes, 63 vs 44 significant strikes, 55.3% vs 37.9% accuracy. Davi Ramos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Davi Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 4:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 977 | 1 323 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Davi Ramos controlled Austin Hubbard on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:06 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Davi Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Davi Ramos demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Davi Ramos capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Hubbard's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Davi Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +24 |
Davi Ramos extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Hubbard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Davi Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

