August 21, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 992 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +26 |
Joe Solecki overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Austin Hubbard.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:51 | 3:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 977 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +59 |
Joe Solecki earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:51, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 013 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Joe Solecki edged the striking exchanges with 36 vs 9 total strikes. Joe Solecki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 936 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Joe Solecki controlled Austin Hubbard on the ground with 2:37 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 042 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Joe Solecki demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Joe Solecki capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Hubbard's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Joe Solecki extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Hubbard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Joe Solecki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.