August 18, 2023
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 926 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +52 |
Kurt Holobaugh overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Austin Hubbard.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 966 | 952 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:39 | 2:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 948 | 967 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +88 |
Kurt Holobaugh earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Austin Hubbard was submitted.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 989 | 910 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Kurt Holobaugh controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 61 total strikes, 61 vs 44 significant strikes, 51.3% vs 41.1% accuracy. Kurt Holobaugh capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:23 | 1:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 939 | 879 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Kurt Holobaugh edged out Austin Hubbard on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:08 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 728 | 1 561 |
| Activity ELO | 1 019 | 959 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +25 |
Kurt Holobaugh demonstrated extended layoff with 1561 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Kurt Holobaugh capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Hubbard's 728-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 974 | 955 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Kurt Holobaugh started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Hubbard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 966 | 952 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.