March 6, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 987 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Mark Madsen earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 003 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Austin Hubbard controlled the striking through superior volume (45 vs 20 total strikes), significant strike advantage (41 vs 15), superior accuracy (54.7% vs 25.9%). However, since Austin Hubbard lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mark Madsen's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 8:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -110 | +110 |
Mark Madsen dominated Austin Hubbard on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 8:01 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +39 |
Mark Madsen demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mark Madsen capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Hubbard's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Mark Madsen extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Hubbard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.