June 19, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Max Rohskopf |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Austin Hubbard's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Austin Hubbard for the expected result. Had Max Rohskopf pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Max Rohskopf |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Max Rohskopf |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Austin Hubbard gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Max Rohskopf |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 057 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Austin Hubbard controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 17 total strikes, 58 vs 17 significant strikes, 57.4% vs 31.5% accuracy. Austin Hubbard capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Max Rohskopf |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Austin Hubbard did not secure a significant ground advantage against Max Rohskopf on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Max Rohskopf |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -20 |
Austin Hubbard demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Austin Hubbard capitalized on this activity level, while Max Rohskopf's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Max Rohskopf |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Austin Hubbard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Max Rohskopf is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Hubbard | Max Rohskopf |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.