Austin Hubbard vs Vinc Pichel

August 20, 2021

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1009
(-17)
Austin Hubbard
Winner: Vinc Pichel
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Austin Hubbard-17
Vinc Pichel+17
1175
(+17)
Vinc Pichel

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Hubbard: -16Vinc Pichel: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin HubbardVinc Pichel
Total UFC Fights79
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0081 229
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Vinc Pichel's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vinc Pichel for the expected result. Had Austin Hubbard pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Hubbard: -16Vinc Pichel: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin HubbardVinc Pichel
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9911 103
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Hubbard: -18Vinc Pichel: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin HubbardVinc Pichel
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0041 268
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Vinc Pichel earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Hubbard: -19Vinc Pichel: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin HubbardVinc Pichel
Significant Strikes Landed5671
Significant Strikes Attempted152160
Total Strikes Landed6696
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0321 203
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Vinc Pichel controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 66 total strikes, 71 vs 56 significant strikes. Vinc Pichel capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Hubbard: -16Vinc Pichel: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin HubbardVinc Pichel
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted74
Ground Control Time2:142:29
Ground Strikes Landed12
Ground ELO1 0021 215
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Vinc Pichel slightly outworked Austin Hubbard on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:29 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Hubbard: -18Vinc Pichel: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin HubbardVinc Pichel
Days Since Last Fight126371
Activity ELO1 0471 139
ELO Change-18+16
💡

What Happened

Vinc Pichel demonstrated extended layoff with 371 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Vinc Pichel capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Hubbard's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Hubbard: -15Vinc Pichel: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin HubbardVinc Pichel
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9991 136
ELO Change-15+19
💡

What Happened

Vinc Pichel extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Hubbard is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Hubbard: -16Vinc Pichel: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin HubbardVinc Pichel
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9911 103
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.