January 15, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Jacob Kilburn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Jacob Kilburn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Jacob Kilburn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 000 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Austin Lingo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Jacob Kilburn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 95 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 182 | 201 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 110 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 003 | 840 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Austin Lingo controlled the striking exchanges with 110 vs 78 total strikes, 95 vs 64 significant strikes, 52.2% vs 31.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Austin Lingo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Jacob Kilburn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 18 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:48 | 1:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 824 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Austin Lingo edged out Jacob Kilburn on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:48 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Jacob Kilburn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 343 | 406 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Austin Lingo demonstrated standard activity with 343 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Austin Lingo capitalized on this activity level, while Jacob Kilburn's 406-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Jacob Kilburn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Austin Lingo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jacob Kilburn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Jacob Kilburn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.