July 14, 2023
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +42 |
Melquizael Costa overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Austin Lingo.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 964 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Melquizael Costa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 100 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 220 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 108 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 964 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Melquizael Costa dominated the striking exchanges with 108 vs 39 total strikes, 100 vs 39 significant strikes, 45.5% vs 28.1% accuracy. Melquizael Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 804 | 965 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Melquizael Costa controlled Austin Lingo on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:44 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 988 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +39 |
Melquizael Costa demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Melquizael Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Lingo's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Melquizael Costa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Lingo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.