Austin Lingo vs Nate Landwehr

March 24, 2023

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

993
(-33)
Austin Lingo
Winner: Nate Landwehr
Submission
Round 2 • 4:11

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Austin Lingo-33
Nate Landwehr+37
1081
(+37)
Nate Landwehr

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Lingo: -27Nate Landwehr: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin LingoNate Landwehr
Total UFC Fights46
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0201 127
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Nate Landwehr's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Landwehr for the expected result. Had Austin Lingo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Lingo: -21Nate Landwehr: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin LingoNate Landwehr
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0011 049
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Lingo: -38Nate Landwehr: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin LingoNate Landwehr
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:114:11
Win Type ELO1 0091 137
ELO Change-38+59
💡

What Happened

Nate Landwehr earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Austin Lingo was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Lingo: -41Nate Landwehr: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin LingoNate Landwehr
Significant Strikes Landed4864
Significant Strikes Attempted146153
Total Strikes Landed5068
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 017956
ELO Change-41+41
💡

What Happened

Nate Landwehr controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 48 significant strikes, 41.8% vs 32.9% accuracy. Nate Landwehr capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Lingo: -78Nate Landwehr: +78

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin LingoNate Landwehr
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:000:24
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO8791 162
ELO Change-78+78
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Lingo: -18Nate Landwehr: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin LingoNate Landwehr
Days Since Last Fight582225
Activity ELO1 0101 103
ELO Change-18+22
💡

What Happened

Nate Landwehr demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nate Landwehr capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Lingo's 582-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Lingo: -20Nate Landwehr: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin LingoNate Landwehr
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0091 066
ELO Change-20+27
💡

What Happened

Nate Landwehr extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Lingo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Austin Lingo: -21Nate Landwehr: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAustin LingoNate Landwehr
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0011 049
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.