March 24, 2023
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Nate Landwehr's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Landwehr for the expected result. Had Austin Lingo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:11 | 4:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 009 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +59 |
Nate Landwehr earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Austin Lingo was submitted.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 146 | 153 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 017 | 956 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Nate Landwehr controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 48 significant strikes, 41.8% vs 32.9% accuracy. Nate Landwehr capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 879 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 582 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Nate Landwehr demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nate Landwehr capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Lingo's 582-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +27 |
Nate Landwehr extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Lingo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Austin Lingo | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

