May 3, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Azamat Bekoev | Ryan Loder |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Azamat Bekoev | Ryan Loder |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Azamat Bekoev | Ryan Loder |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:44 | 2:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 210 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -37 |
Azamat Bekoev earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Azamat Bekoev | Ryan Loder |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 241 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +158 | -158 |
Azamat Bekoev dominated the striking exchanges with 39 vs 15 total strikes, 23 vs 13 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Azamat Bekoev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Azamat Bekoev | Ryan Loder |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:04 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Azamat Bekoev landed 2 knockdowns followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Azamat Bekoev | Ryan Loder |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 078 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -21 |
Azamat Bekoev demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Azamat Bekoev capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Loder's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Azamat Bekoev | Ryan Loder |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Azamat Bekoev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Loder is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Azamat Bekoev | Ryan Loder |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

