November 16, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | Ivan Menjivar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Ivan Menjivar's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ivan Menjivar for the expected result. Had Azamat Gashimov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | Ivan Menjivar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | Ivan Menjivar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:44 | 2:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +47 |
Ivan Menjivar earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | Ivan Menjivar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Ivan Menjivar slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 60.0% vs 30.8% accuracy. Ivan Menjivar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | Ivan Menjivar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 971 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Ivan Menjivar edged out Azamat Gashimov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | Ivan Menjivar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +35 |
Ivan Menjivar demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ivan Menjivar capitalized on this activity level, while Azamat Gashimov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | Ivan Menjivar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Ivan Menjivar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Azamat Gashimov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | Ivan Menjivar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

