May 17, 2013
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 942 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:07 | 1:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 934 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +80 |
John Lineker gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 794 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -185 | +185 |
John Lineker dominated the striking exchanges with 46 vs 8 total strikes, 36 vs 7 significant strikes, 45.0% vs 18.4% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. John Lineker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 1:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 916 | 972 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
John Lineker landed 3 knockdowns followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 963 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
John Lineker demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, John Lineker capitalized on this activity level, while Azamat Gashimov's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
John Lineker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Azamat Gashimov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Azamat Gashimov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

