April 11, 2026
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Azamat Murzakanov | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 238 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Paulo Costa's 5-fight experience advantage (12 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paulo Costa for the expected result. Had Azamat Murzakanov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Azamat Murzakanov | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 098 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Azamat Murzakanov | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:23 | 1:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 423 | 1 525 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +93 |
Paulo Costa gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Azamat Murzakanov | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 70 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 343 | 1 533 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Paulo Costa controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 34 total strikes, 55 vs 34 significant strikes, 68.8% vs 48.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Paulo Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Azamat Murzakanov | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 1:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 200 | 1 350 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Paulo Costa landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Azamat Murzakanov | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 167 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Paulo Costa demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Paulo Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Azamat Murzakanov's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Azamat Murzakanov | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 161 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Paulo Costa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Azamat Murzakanov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Azamat Murzakanov | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.