February 2, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Azat Maksum | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 955 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Charles Johnson's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Johnson for the expected result. Had Azat Maksum pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Azat Maksum | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Azat Maksum | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 971 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Charles Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Azat Maksum | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 163 | 140 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Charles Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 40 total strikes, 76 vs 38 significant strikes, 54.3% vs 23.3% accuracy. Charles Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Azat Maksum | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:29 | 0:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 930 | 937 |
| ELO Change | -97 | +97 |
Charles Johnson controlled Azat Maksum on the ground with 2 takedowns, 0:47 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Azat Maksum | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +58 |
Charles Johnson demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Charles Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Azat Maksum's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Azat Maksum | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 994 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Charles Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Azat Maksum is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Azat Maksum | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.